CNN
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The New Hampshire GOP major voters was comparatively carefully divided between voters registered as Republican and people registered as undeclared, the state’s time period for impartial voters, in keeping with the preliminary outcomes of CNN’s exit ballot for the presidential major.
Main voters have been additionally carefully divided on whether or not or not former President Donald Trump, who faces 4 felony trials, can be match for the presidency if he’s convicted of a criminal offense. However at the moment, a majority stated they’d be happy to see Trump win the Republican nomination this 12 months.
Exit polls are a worthwhile instrument to assist perceive major voters’ demographic profile and political beliefs. Like all surveys, nevertheless, exit polls are estimates, not exact measurements of the voters. That’s significantly true for the preliminary set of exit ballot numbers, which haven’t but been weighted to match the ultimate outcomes of the first. However the outcomes present a glimpse of the sorts of voters turning out to take part.
Almost two-thirds of major voters describe themselves as conservative, in keeping with the preliminary outcomes, with about one-quarter calling themselves very conservative, whereas about one-third describe themselves as moderates.
Most stated they didn’t contemplate themselves part of the MAGA motion, referring to the “Make America Nice Once more” slogan popularized by Trump in 2016. And roughly half stated they believed that President Joe Biden’s victory over Trump 4 years in the past was reputable. There isn’t a proof of widespread voter fraud within the 2020 election.
These numbers kind a considerably totally different backdrop than in Iowa’s caucuses, the place practically 9 in 10 described themselves as conservative – a designation that, on this election cycle, has largely correlated with assist for the previous president. Almost half of Iowa caucus contributors recognized themselves as MAGA, and roughly two-thirds denied the legitimacy of Biden’s 2020 victory.
In New Hampshire, Trump voters and people backing former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley differed sharply of their attitudes towards their chosen candidate. The overwhelming majority of voters who turned out to assist Trump – roughly three-quarters — stated that they forged their vote for the candidate they “strongly favored,” with only some saying they preferred Trump with reservations, or that their vote was pushed largely by dislike of his rivals.
In contrast, roughly 4 in 10 Haley voters in New Hampshire attributed their assist of her principally to distaste for her opponents, with about 3 in 10 saying they preferred her with reservations, and solely a couple of third that they strongly favored Haley.
Each Trump and Haley voters, nevertheless, can be sad to see the Republican Social gathering nominate their chosen candidate’s rival. About three-quarters of Trump voters stated they’d be dissatisfied if Haley gained the nomination, whereas roughly 9 in 10 Haley voters stated they’d be dissatisfied if Trump gained a 3rd nomination.
Roughly 7 in 10 of the New Hampshire voters backing Trump stated they have been registered as Republicans. And about 8 in 10 of Trump’s voters denied the legitimacy of Biden’s election win in 2020, highlighting the election denialism that is still widespread amongst his supporters. Haley’s backers current a close to mirror picture: about 7 in 10 stated they have been registered as undeclared previous to Tuesday, and the overwhelming majority acknowledged the outcomes of the 2020 election.
As in Iowa, New Hampshire’s Republican major voters cut up carefully between immigration and the financial system as their prime points, with fewer citing abortion or overseas coverage as their prime concern.
Most, about 7 in 10, describe the state of the financial system as not so good or poor. Roughly half say that they’d wish to see most undocumented immigrants within the US deported to the international locations they got here from. In a distinction with Iowa, a majority of voters in New Hampshire say they’d oppose a federal ban on most or all abortions.
Voters are divided on the position of the US overseas, with roughly 4 in 10 saying they’d just like the nation to take a much less lively position, about 3 in 10 a extra lively position, and the remainder saying it ought to stay roughly the identical.
The exit ballot for New Hampshire’s Republican presidential major was performed by Edison Analysis on behalf of the Nationwide Election Pool. It contains 1,565 interviews with Republican major voters throughout 40 totally different polling locations. Outcomes for the complete pattern have a margin of error of plus or minus 4.0 proportion factors; it’s bigger for subgroups.
This story has been up to date with extra data.