How did we get here with Biden? Your questions about the democratic process answered.

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A model of this story appeared in CNN’s What Issues publication. To get it in your inbox, join free here.



CNN
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President Joe Biden is rejecting any concept that he would step apart because the Democratic nominee, a call that’s his alone.

Once we requested readers what questions they’ve about Biden, they expressed some confusion in regards to the course of that made him the presumptive Democratic nominee.

Listed below are solutions to a few of the questions posed to CNN from readers:

No. There was a sequence of primaries in states and territories this 12 months and voters in these contests overwhelmingly backed Biden. He confronted solely token opposition from a little-known congressman, Rep. Dean Phillips, and an creator, Marianne Williamson. Biden received nearly all of the 3,949 pledged delegates who will formally choose the social gathering’s nominee on the Democratic Nationwide Conference in Chicago in August.

Delegates decide the nominee throughout a roll-call vote. Whereas social gathering guidelines don’t formally require delegates to vote for the candidate to whom they’re pledged, they’re alleged to, and campaigns have the proper to approve the delegates pledged to their candidates. Biden has the votes to win the nomination in that first spherical of voting and realistically, it’s extremely unlikely that one other candidate could possibly be elected with out Biden voluntarily stepping apart.

That is an unprecedented scenario. Primaries started in January and went on for months. That monthslong course of offered Democrats and independents who wished to participate within the Democratic main the chance to again a distinct candidate. Every a type of primaries, arguably, was a type of off-ramp.

However Democrats on the time had been largely rallying behind Biden. That was, nevertheless, earlier than his poor debate efficiency fed festering concerns about his age. It’s exceptional that although polling has lengthy advised voters really feel Biden is simply too outdated and would have most well-liked a distinct selection, top quality opponents didn’t problem him. Phillips and Williamson by no means gained traction and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. left the Democratic Social gathering to run as an impartial somewhat than problem Biden for the social gathering nomination.

The social gathering additionally labored onerous to discourage opposition to Biden. It didn’t sponsor debates, and a number of states, together with Delaware and Florida, didn’t maintain Democratic primaries after it was clear that Biden had the delegates to win the nomination.

Delegates are alleged to honor the voters of their states. Right here’s the language within the Democratic party rules for the 2024 conference: “All delegates to the Nationwide Conference pledged to a presidential candidate shall in all good conscience mirror the emotions of those that elected them.”

Primaries are an necessary a part of the method and first voters selected Biden. Not that that they had a lot selection; the social gathering labored onerous to unify early behind Biden and discouraged severe opposition. However delegates technically decide the social gathering nominee, which is why it will in all probability take Biden releasing the delegates he received to interchange him on the ticket.

We acquired a number of variations of this query, not all of them match to print. The massive universe of people that imagine Trump is unfit to be president have thought that for a very long time. There’s a universe of people who find themselves newly questioning Biden’s health after the talk. I’d level out that determine – that Trump lied greater than 30 instances on the debate – is straight reported in CNN’s Fact Check of the talk. From that report:

Trump’s repeat falsehoods included his assertions that some Democratic-led states allow babies to be executed after birth, that every legal scholar and everybody in general wanted Roe v. Wade overturned, that there have been no terror attacks during his presidency, that Iran didn’t fund terror groups during his presidency, that the US has provided more aid to Ukraine than Europe has, that Biden for years referred to Black people as “super predators,” that Biden is planning to quadruple people’s taxes, that then-House Speaker Nancy Pelosi turned down 10,000 National Guard troops for the US Capitol on January 6, 2021that Americans don’t pay the cost of his tariffs on China and other countries, that Europe accepts no American cars, that he is the president who got the Veterans Choice program through Congress, and that fraud marred the results of the 2020 election.

So I imagine it’s inaccurate to say the media is giving Trump a move. Trump, for his half, has all however disappeared from the marketing campaign path for the reason that debate and Biden is holding occasions, doing TV and audio interviews and extra as he engages in harm management. There has additionally been ample protection of Trump’s felony trial, his many different authorized troubles, and his typically outrageous claims and coverage proposals.

Biden argues he has one of the best likelihood of successful and says the pollsters he talks to say the race is a tossup. Excessive-quality public polling for the reason that debate, however, suggests Trump does have a lead. In hypothetical matchups wherein different Democrats are put up in opposition to Trump, the outcomes aren’t at the moment a lot completely different. If these numbers begin to change dramatically, strain on Biden to drop out will improve dramatically.

After I put this query to CNN’s polling director, Jennifer Agiesta, she cautioned that polling is often misinterpreted as a device to foretell the longer term. It doesn’t inform us who has a greater likelihood of successful, however the state of the race in a specific second. “Even earlier than the talk there was virtually no polling displaying Biden with a major lead of Trump nationally or in key states,” Agiesta mentioned. “In a two-way matchup between Trump and Biden, there hasn’t been a high-quality ballot displaying a major Biden lead since February.”

Biden says he doesn’t have a debilitating cognitive situation so it doesn’t seem he’s hiding one. His advisers argue that he maintains a full marketing campaign and governing schedule and he often seems in public, though his advisers have clearly tried to reduce unscripted moments. Impeachment is utilized to punish “excessive crimes and misdemeanors,” based on the US Structure. Republican efforts to question Biden, which have so far failed, have targeted not on his age, however on his son’s former enterprise pursuits.

The 25th Amendment offers a pathway to dislodge an incapacitated president, however it’s a difficult course of and would require a majority of Biden’s Cupboard and Vice President Kamala Harris to agree in writing that he’s “unable to discharge the powers and duties of his workplace.” None of his allies are at the moment saying that about him. But when, sooner or later, a majority of his Cupboard and Harris (or another physique appointed by Congress) turned on Biden and tried to declare him incapacitated, he may dispute their discovering and resume his duties. Harris and the Cupboard would then have 4 days wherein to double down on their declaration that the president was unfit, at which level each homes of Congress would have 21 days to resolve in a vote if he ought to stick with it as president. It could require two-thirds of the Senate (normally 67 of 100 senators) and two-thirds of the Home (normally 290 of 435 representatives) to take away the president from workplace.

Democrats haven’t precisely turned on Biden. Solely a handful of elected Democrats have publicly argued he ought to step down because the social gathering’s candidate in 2024. However they’re virtually universally nervous that Trump will beat Biden in a rematch. Not solely do Democrats disagree with the previous president’s insurance policies, in addition they view him as a destabilizing menace to American democracy. If Biden just isn’t seen as succesful by the few impartial voters who may help both candidate, it makes a Trump election extra probably.

This is able to get very difficult, as CNN’s David Wright has written:

It’s a major battle chest that totaled $240 million at the end of June, together with the Democratic Nationwide Conference and allied committees, based on an announcement from Biden’s marketing campaign on Tuesday. On the finish of Could, Biden’s marketing campaign account alone held $91.6 million, based on the newest out there information from the Federal Election Fee (FEC).

If Harris had been tapped as a alternative nominee, she would take over the present marketing campaign account, and have management of funds deposited there, per FEC guidelines.

If the race had been thrown open, the Biden-Harris marketing campaign may switch all of its money available to the Democratic Nationwide Committee, as FEC rules allow limitless transfers from candidate committees to nationwide social gathering committees.

The DNC may use these funds in a number of methods to help a brand new nominee, and will distribute that cash to a wide range of different down poll candidates and allied committees – however in doing so, the DNC could be restricted by FEC guidelines governing spending and contributions for nationwide social gathering committees.

There are different choices, every with its personal set of drawbacks, based on Wright, together with turning Biden’s marketing campaign account right into a PAC.

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