Trump plays the fear card on the economy – and it seems to be working

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CNN
 — 

Donald Trump had an apocalyptic warning for a gaggle of farmers in swing state Pennsylvania: If he loses the election, “You gained’t have a farm very lengthy.”

Trump spoke Monday at an occasion highlighting his vow to guard rural Individuals from the perceived predatory energy of China, at which he additionally confirmed that when he tries to focus, he can assemble efficient, populist financial arguments that assist clarify his dominance in polls on an important situation within the election.

However Trump’s prediction about mass bankruptcies within the agricultural sector additionally echoed a well-recognized chorus — one that’s the basis of his pessimistic political creed. The ex-president adapts this assemble to virtually any viewers as he evokes a imaginative and prescient of a nation wracked by crime, financial blight and an immigrant invasion.

Most politicians courtroom voters by providing them an optimistic imaginative and prescient, peddling hope and guarantees of change. Democratic nominee Kamala Harris is searching for to comb away Trump’s somber image of America in disaster by invoking pleasure and a brand new type of “alternative economic system.” Trump, nevertheless, largely dishes out worry and threats.

He, as an illustration, warned Individuals at his debate with Harris that “you’re going to finish up in World Struggle III.” In a Fox Information City Corridor earlier this month, he warned that “this nation will find yourself in a melancholy if she turns into president. Like 1929.” He manufacturers Harris a “communist” and “Comrade” as he implicitly argues that if he loses, America gained’t have an economic system anymore.

In one other twist of his excessive rhetoric, Trump additionally appears to be searching for scapegoats ought to he lose the election in simply over 40 days.

Final week, at an occasion on antisemitism, the previous president warned that “the Jewish people” would be partly to blame if he loses in November. He gave the impression to be suggesting, as he as up to now, that Jews shouldn’t vote for Democrats as a result of with out his fervent help for far-right Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, there may not be an Israel anymore. The feedback had been simply the newest event when he’s invoked an antisemitic trope that implies American Jews have twin loyalties. The Biden administration, whereas calling on Netanyahu to do extra to spare Palestinian civilians, has despatched huge assets to the Center East to guard Israel, notably when it led a global effort to repel an enormous Iranian missile assault in April.

Taking goal at one other religion group, the previous president wrote on social media Monday that Catholic voters “ought to have their head examined” in the event that they again Harris, implying that worshippers wouldn’t have Catholicism any extra with a baseless declare that “Catholics are actually being persecuted by this administration.”

Over the weekend, the ex-president tapped out a weird, patriarchal, all caps message on Fact Social that got here throughout extra like a dictate from an authoritarian state than a promise as he vowed “WOMEN WILL BE HAPPY, HEALTHY, CONFIDENT AND FREE” if he’s elected president once more.

At a rally in Pennsylvania on Monday evening, Trump — who was discovered liable by a federal jury in a civil case for sexual abuse and is trailing Harris amongst feminine voters — advised America’s ladies: “I’m your protector. I wish to be your protector. As president, I’ve to be your protector.”

Former President Donald Trump holds a fighting antisemitism event at Trump National Golf Club Bedminster on August 15, 2024, in Bedminster, New Jersey.

In opposition to this backdrop, Trump’s ominous warning to farmers sounded somewhat acquainted. He claimed that power costs would skyrocket in a Harris administration and bankrupt agricultural companies in rural areas that largely help him. “In the event that they get in, your power prices are going to by means of the roof — they’re going by means of the roof, OK? You gained’t have a farm very lengthy, I’ll let you know that,” Trump stated.

The conjured menace that farms — the material of rural life — could possibly be worn out in a Harris administration performs into the ex-president’s core theme on the debate, particularly that “our nation is being misplaced. We’re a failing nation.”

His feedback additionally echoed one in all his most infamous and chilling remarks as president, when he advised a crowd on January 6, 2021, to march to the US Capitol and “combat like hell” in any other case they had been “not going to have a rustic anymore.”

The Republican nominee’s warnings of catastrophe aren’t a brand new wrinkle. In 2020, with Covid-19 rampant, he warned that if he was not reelected, there can be “no kids in school, no graduations, no weddings, no Thanksgiving, no Christmas and no Fourth of July collectively.” Whereas such rituals had been severely disrupted when he was in workplace in 2020, the nation regularly obtained again on its toes beneath Biden, who used his first Independence Day celebrations in workplace to declare independence from the virus, even when it in the end took longer for regular life to renew.

A few of this rhetoric is basic overkill from a lifelong salesman — or what Trump as soon as known as “truthful hyperbole” in his treatise “The Artwork of the Deal.”

However as soon as he turned from enterprise to politics, Trump’s exaggerations took on a extra sinister dimension. His searing 2016 Republican Nationwide Conference tackle warned America was sliding into poverty, violence and corruption. Within the White Home, “truthful hyperbole” turned “various info” as Trump invented new realities that higher served his private and political objectives.

Together with his menacing predictions of America’s future if Harris wins, the previous president is adopting a tactic usually utilized by strongmen and dictatorial leaders abroad who personalize management and predict catastrophe until they’re in energy. Issues get so dangerous that solely a strongman’s contact can save the nation. “I alone can repair it,” Trump pledged on the Republican Nationwide Conference in 2016. He expanded on his theme this 12 months in one in all his frequent tributes to hardline Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán throughout a Fox interview: “They are saying he’s a strongman,” mused Trump. “Generally you want a strongman.”

One purpose why Trump’s rhetoric has been efficient — no less than in cementing the loyal base of the Republican Social gathering — is that it channels the sentiments of many citizens and legitimizes them.

That is the place Trump’s authoritarian instincts and financial impulses come collectively.

The previous president on Monday performed into anger over the way in which globalization and industrialization has reduce a swathe by means of small farms in latest many years. And he lashed out at China, each over its efforts to purchase US farmland and over what he stated was its failure to purchase $50 billion in US agricultural produce beneath a commerce deal that he labored out with President Xi Jinping earlier than the pandemic. Many consultants raised doubts that China would reside as much as the phrases when Trump made it — though the then-president hailed the settlement as one of many biggest offers in historical past.

Trump blamed Biden for failing to carry Beijing’s toes to the fireplace. And he promised that one in all his first acts as president can be to name Xi and set him straight — not simply on agricultural points however to demand he impose the loss of life penalty on producers of precursor chemical compounds for fentanyl, which has brought about the deaths of tens of 1000’s of Individuals in overdoses. There may be zero probability that America’s superpower rival would reply to such an order positively, however Trump’s menace made him look sturdy in standing up for US pursuits.

“No person has accomplished for farmers what I’ve accomplished,” Trump declared. But a lot of his generosity in sending billions of {dollars} in subsidies to the trade whereas he was in workplace was designed to mitigate the impression of his commerce battle with Beijing.

On Monday,  the previous president warned that if Congress tried to dam him from imposing new tariffs on China, he’d simply ignore lawmakers. “I don’t want them. I don’t want Congress, however they’ll approve it. I’ve the fitting to impose them myself in the event that they don’t,” the previous president stated.

And Trump additionally stated he’d impose a 200% tariff on tractor maker John Deere if it moved manufacturing to factories in Mexico. “I’m simply notifying John Deere proper now: For those who try this, we’re placing a 200% tariff on all the things that you just wish to promote into the USA,” Trump stated. “It’s hurting our farmers. It’s hurting our manufacturing.” John Deere introduced in July that it’s going to lay off about 600 staff throughout three US factories because the Illinois-based firm shifts manufacturing to a deliberate facility in Ramos, Mexico.

The fights that Trump picks up to now haven’t all the time helped US employees. Investments and jobs that the ex-president promised he’d save usually didn’t materialize. And President Joe Biden has often highlighted his personal investments in manufacturing and infrastructure that the ex-president didn’t ship.

Trump visits Sprankle's Neighborhood Market on September 23, 2024 in Kittanning, Pennsylvania.

However Trump’s enduring — and critics say fictionalized — picture as a shrewd businessman and his knack for populist photo-ops assist clarify new polls by The New York Occasions and Siena School on Monday that confirmed that 55% of respondents in Arizona, North Carolina and Georgia stated Trump would do a greater job managing the economic system in comparison with 42% who picked Harris.

The vice chairman has sought to slender the benefit by adopting her personal populist streak — taking goal at what she says is worth gouging by grocery store chains and accusing Trump of planning large new tax cuts for the richest Individuals that may mirror these throughout his first time period. Like Trump, Harris argues that US Metal ought to stay American owned in opposing a sale to Nippon Metal — Japan’s greatest steelmaker.

Harris plans to provide one other speech on the economic system later this week through which she is going to flesh out particulars of a plan designed to unfold the sturdy financial restoration extra equally and to assist working Individuals get on the housing ladder.

However Harris has hardly ever carried out the type of roundtable occasion that Trump attended on Monday with farmers. Even when the group gave the impression to be made up of sturdy Trump supporters, the optics of the assembly despatched a message as the previous president, for as soon as, spent extra time listening than talking.

Later, the previous president pulled off one other photo-op that demonstrated the benefit he holds over Harris, who should run for president as an incumbent member of an administration given poor marks by voters over excessive costs.

Recent from his warnings of a looming wipeout of American farms, Trump stopped at a grocery retailer in Kittanning, Pennsylvania, and handed a lady money to assist her pay for her groceries. “Right here, it simply went down 100 bucks,” Trump stated. “We’ll try this for you from the White Home.”

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