CNN
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Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are dealing with off for the primary time Tuesday throughout ABC’s presidential debate.
CNN’s Information First group is evaluating the candidate’s claims right here. This story shall be up to date all through the occasion.
Former Vice President Kamala Harris stated throughout Tuesday evening’s debate that former President Donald Trump’s insurance policies would lead to a “Trump gross sales tax” that might elevate costs for center class households by about $4,000 a yr.
Information First: The declare is cheap sufficient, however it’s price explaining that Harris is referring to Trump’s proposal to implement new tariffs if he returns to the White Home.
Trump has referred to as for including a tariff of 10% to twenty% on all imports from all international locations, in addition to one other tariff upward of 60% on all Chinese language imports.
Collectively, a 20% across-the-board tariff with a 60% tariff on Chinese language-made items would quantity to a couple of $3,900 annual tax improve for a middle-income household, in line with the Center for American Progress Action Fund a liberal suppose tank.
If the 20% tariff was simply 10%, as Trump generally suggests, the entire affect for middle-class households might be $2,500 a yr, in line with CAP.
Separate research estimate that the affect of Trump’s proposed tariffs would additionally elevate costs for households, however by a decrease quantity. The Peterson Institute for Worldwide Economics estimated the brand new duties would value the typical middle-class family about $1,700 annually. And the Tax Coverage Middle stated the affect might be $1,350 a year for middle-income households.
From CNN’s Katie Lobosco
Watch Harris react to Trump saying he was going to ship her a MAGA hat
Former President Donald Trump claimed in Tuesday’s debate with Vice President Kamala Harris that there was nearly no inflation throughout his administration.
“I had no inflation, nearly no inflation,” Trump stated.
Information First: That is false. Cumulative inflation over the course of Trump’s presidency was about 7.8%.
Inflation was low on the finish of Trump’s time period, having plummeted in the course of the Covid-19 pandemic. The year-over-year inflation fee was about 1.4% in January 2021, the month Trump left workplace.
From CNN’s Daniel Dale and Tami Luhby
Trump claims migrants are arriving to US from prisons and psychological establishments
Former President Donald Trump on Tuesday repeated a declare that migrants are arriving to the US after fleeing prisons and psychological establishments.
“We now have hundreds of thousands of individuals pouring into our nation from prisons and jails, from psychological establishments and insane asylums,” Trump claimed.
Trump makes this declare typically, and he’s typically alleged that jails and psychological establishments are being emptied out intentionally to someway dump folks upon the US.
Information First: There is no such thing as a proof for Trump’s declare.
Representatives for 2 anti-immigration organizations advised CNN final yr that they had not heard of something that might corroborate Trump’s story, as did three specialists at organizations favorable towards immigration. CNN’s personal search didn’t produce any proof. The web site FactCheck.org also found nothing.
Trump has generally tried to assist his declare by making one other declare that the worldwide jail inhabitants is down. However that’s unsuitable, too. The recorded international jail inhabitants elevated from October 2021 to April 2024, from about 10.77 million people to about 10.99 million people, in line with the World Jail Inhabitants Listing compiled by specialists in the UK.
In response to CNN’s 2023 inquiry, Trump marketing campaign spokesman Steven Cheung cited one supply for Trump’s declare about prisons being emptied for migration functions – a 2022 article from right-wing web site Breitbart Information a couple of supposed federal intelligence report warning Border Patrol brokers that Venezuela had executed this. However that vague and unverified declare about Venezuela’s actions has by no means been corroborated.
And a second article that Cheung cited on the time, about Mexico’s president having freed 2,685 prisoners, was not about migration in any respect; that article merely defined that the president had freed them “as a part of an effort to free those that haven’t dedicated severe crimes or have been being held unjustly.”
From CNN’s Daniel Dale and Kaanita Iyer
Former President Donald Trump claimed throughout Tuesday evening’s debate that “21 million folks” are crossing the border month-to-month into the USA underneath President Joe Biden.
Information First: This quantity is fake. The whole variety of “encounters” on the northern and southern borders from February 2021 by means of July 2024, at each authorized ports of entry and in between these ports, was roughly 10 million, far lower than Trump’s “21 million” determine.
An “encounter” doesn’t imply an individual was let into the nation; some folks encountered are promptly despatched away. Even in case you added the estimated variety of “gotaways” (individuals who evaded the Border Patrol to enter illegally), which Home Republicans have stated is greater than 1.7 million in the course of the Biden-Harris administration, “the totals would nonetheless be vastly smaller than 15, 16 or 18 million,” stated Michelle Mittelstadt, spokesperson for the Migration Coverage Institute suppose tank, stated in an e mail in June, when Trump made comparable claims.
From CNN’s Daniel Dale and Piper Hudspeth Blackburn
In photos: Harris and Trump face off in presidential debate
When contrasting her stance on abortion from that of former President Donald Trump, Vice President Kamala Harris claimed that Trump would signal a nationwide abortion ban if he’s elected and that underneath Challenge 2025, which she alleged was authored by Trump, abortions and miscarriages could be monitored.
“However perceive if Donald Trump have been to be elected, he’ll signal a nationwide abortion ban. Perceive in his Challenge 2025, there could be a nationwide abortion — a monitor that might be monitoring your pregnancies, your miscarriages,” Harris stated.
Information First: Harris is making a prediction that we can not definitively truth examine, however Trump himself has not, throughout this marketing campaign, endorsed these insurance policies she stated he would implement as president.
Trump has repeatedly ducked direct questions on his assist for a federal ban, and polls present {that a} majority of People are usually not in favor of a federal abortion ban.
Moreover, there is no such thing as a proof that Trump was personally concerned in writing the Challenge 2025 coverage doc. Noah Weinrich, a spokesperson for Challenge 2025, stated in a message to CNN when an analogous declare was made in the course of the Democratic Nationwide Conference final month: “Challenge 2025 just isn’t affiliated with any candidate, and no candidate was concerned with the drafting of the Mandate for Management, which was printed by Heritage in April 2023.”
From CNN’s Kaanita Iyer
Trump was requested why girls ought to assist him on abortion. See his response
Vice President Kamala Harris stated throughout Tuesday evening’s debate that the US Supreme Courtroom dominated earlier this yr that Trump would “basically be immune from any misconduct” undertaken by him whereas within the White Home.
“Let’s speak about excessive and perceive the context during which this election in 2024 is going down. The United States Supreme Courtroom not too long ago dominated that the previous president would basically be immune from any misconduct if he have been to enter the White Home once more,” she stated.
Information First: This wants context. Of their determination in July within the historic case, the six conservative justices granted Trump some presidential immunity from legal prosecution, however not blanket immunity, as the previous president had sought in his federal election subversion case. The court docket stated Trump couldn’t be criminally pursued over “official acts,” however that he might face prosecution over alleged legal actions involving “unofficial acts” taken whereas in workplace.
“The President enjoys no immunity for his unofficial acts, and never all the pieces the President does is official. The President just isn’t above the legislation,” Chief Justice John Roberts wrote for the conservative majority.
From CNN’s Devan Cole
Former President Donald Trump repeated a false declare at Tuesday’s debate that has been promoted by quite a few distinguished Republicans up to now week, together with Republican vice presidential candidate Sen. JD Vance. Trump claimed that Haitian migrants within the metropolis of Springfield, Ohio, are stealing folks’s pet canines and cats and consuming them.
“In Springfield, they’re consuming the canines. The people who got here in, they’re consuming the cats,” Trump stated. “They’re consuming the pets of the people who dwell there.”
Information First: That is false. The City of Springfield and the local police have stated they’ve seen no proof for the declare – which appeared to originate from a Fb submit during which somebody purporting to be a neighborhood resident handed alongside what they stated was a narrative about their neighbor’s daughter’s buddy.
In an announcement to CNN on Monday, a spokesperson for the Metropolis of Springfield said “there have been no credible stories or particular claims of pets being harmed, injured or abused by people inside the immigrant group.”
The Springfield Information-Solar reported that “the Springfield Police Division stated Monday morning they’ve acquired no stories associated to pets being stolen and eaten.”
Vance acknowledged on social media on Tuesday that it’s “attainable” that the “rumors” he has heard from native residents “will develop into false,” although he additionally inspired folks to “maintain the cat memes flowing.”
From CNN’s Daniel Dale and Michael Williams
Former President Donald Trump stated Tuesday the USA took in billions of {dollars} from China on account of his tariffs.
Information First: Trump’s declare about how tariffs work is fake. A US tariff is paid by importing companies in the USA – not different international locations – when a foreign-made good arrives on the American border.
Here’s how tariffs work: When the USA places a tariff on an imported good, the price of the tariff normally comes immediately out of the checking account of an American importer.
Study after study, together with one from the federal government’s bipartisan US International Trade Commission, have found that People have borne virtually the complete value of Trump’s tariffs on Chinese language merchandise.
It’s true that the US Treasury has collected more than $242 billion from the tariffs Trump imposed on imported photo voltaic panels, metal and aluminum, and Chinese language-made items – however these duties have been paid by US importers, not the nation of China.
From CNN’s Katie Lobosco
Throughout Tuesday evening’s debate, Vice President Kamala Harris stated, “I made it that very clear in 2020 – I can’t ban fracking,” although she had stated, whereas working within the Democratic presidential main in 2019, that “there’s no query I’m in favor of banning fracking.”
Information First: That is deceptive. Harris didn’t make her place on fracking clear throughout her solely debate in 2020, the overall election’s vice presidential debate towards then-Vice President Mike Pence; Harris never explicitly stated a private place on fracking throughout that debate.
Moderately, she stated that Joe Biden, the pinnacle of the Democratic ticket on the time, wouldn’t ban fracking if he was elected president. Harris stated within the 2020 vice presidential debate: “Joe Biden won’t finish fracking”; “I’ll repeat, and the American folks know, that Joe Biden won’t ban fracking.”
It made sense that Harris was addressing Biden’s plans on the time provided that the president units administration coverage. However opposite to her declare on Thursday, neither of those 2020 debate feedback made clear that she personally held a unique view on the topic than she had the yr prior.
From CNN’s Daniel Dale and Ella Nilsen
Former President Donald Trump stated the US skilled “the best inflation” ever underneath President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris.
Information First: Trump’s declare that inflation was at its highest underneath the Biden-Harris administration is fake. Inflation, as measured by the Client Value Index, hit 9.1% in June 2022. That wasn’t the best ever recorded. Moderately, it was the best inflation fee in practically forty years. As an example, in 1980, inflation hit practically 15%, in line with CPI knowledge from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
A few of the earliest inflation knowledge the BLS maintains signifies that inflation was even increased in 1917, when it was trending at practically 18%.
From CNN’s Elisabeth Buchwald
Former President Donald Trump claimed that when Vice President Kamala Harris beforehand ran for the presidency, in the course of the 2020 election cycle, she was the very first candidate to drop out of a crowded Democratic main.
“When she ran, she was the primary one to depart as a result of she failed,” Trump claimed, referring to Harris’ 2020 bid, whereas arguing that Harris didn’t obtain any votes this main cycle as a result of President Joe Biden was nonetheless at high of the ticket in the course of the primaries.
Information First: That is false. Harris was removed from the primary candidate to drop out of that Democratic main when she exited the race in early December 2019
Harris was preceded by the sitting or former governors of Washington, Montana and Colorado; the sitting mayor of New York City and sitting or former members of the Home of Representatives and Senate, plus some others.
From CNN’s Daniel Dale
Former President Donald Trump claimed at Tuesday’s debate that Vice President Kamala Harris has been the Biden administration’s “border czar.”
“Keep in mind that she was a border czar,” Trump stated. “She doesn’t need to be referred to as the border czar as a result of she’s embarrassed by the border.”
Information First: Trump’s declare about Harris’ border function is fake. Harris was by no means made Biden’s “border czar,” a label the White Home has all the time emphasised is inaccurate. Homeland Safety Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas is the official accountable for border safety. In reality, Biden gave Harris a extra restricted immigration-related task in 2021, asking her to guide diplomacy with El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras in an try to deal with the situations that prompted their residents to attempt to migrate to the USA.
Some Republicans have scoffed at assertions that Harris was by no means the “border czar,” noting on social media that information articles generally described Harris as such. However these articles have been unsuitable. Various news outlets, including CNN, reported as early as the primary half of 2021 that the White Home emphasised that Harris had not been put accountable for border safety as a complete, as “border czar” strongly suggests, and had as a substitute been handed a diplomatic job associated to Central American international locations.
A White Home “truth sheet” in July 2021 said: “On February 2, 2021, President Biden signed an Government Order that referred to as for the event of a Root Causes Technique. Since March, Vice President Kamala Harris has been main the Administration’s diplomatic efforts to deal with the foundation causes of migration from El Salvador, Guatemala, and Honduras.”
Biden’s personal feedback at a March 2021 occasion saying the task have been barely more muddled, however he stated he had requested Harris to guide “our diplomatic effort” to deal with elements inflicting migration within the three “Northern Triangle” international locations. (Biden additionally talked about Mexico that day). Biden listed elements in these international locations he thought had led to migration and stated that “in case you take care of the issues in-country, it advantages everybody.” And Harris’ feedback that day have been targeted squarely on “root causes.”
Republicans can pretty say that even “root causes” work is a border-related job. However calling her “border czar” goes too far.
From CNN’s Daniel Dale and Tami Luhby
Former President Donald Trump repeated a model of certainly one of his frequent claims Tuesday evening that authorized students needed Roe v. Wade overturned so particular person states might as a substitute determine how you can regulate abortion.
“Each authorized scholar, each Democrat, each Republican, liberal, conservative, all needed this challenge to be introduced again to the states the place the folks might vote, and that’s what occurred,” Trump stated. “It’s the vote of the folks, now it’s not tied up within the federal authorities.”
Information First: Trump’s declare is fake. Many authorized students needed the precise to have an abortion preserved in federal legislation, as a number of told CNN when Trump made a similar claim in April.
Some authorized students who assist abortion rights had needed Roe written differently, including even the late liberal Supreme Courtroom Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, however that isn’t the identical as saying that “each authorized scholar” believed Roe needs to be overturned and despatched to the states.
“Any declare that every one authorized students needed Roe overturned is mind-numbingly false,” Rutgers Regulation College professor Kimberly Mutcherson, a authorized scholar who supported the preservation of Roe, stated in April.
“Donald Trump’s declare is flatly incorrect,” one other authorized scholar who didn’t need Roe overturned, Maya Manian, an American College legislation professor and college director of the college’s Well being Regulation and Coverage Program, stated in April.
Trump’s declare is “clearly not” true, stated Mary Ziegler, a legislation professor on the College of California, Davis, who’s an skilled on the historical past of the US abortion debate. Ziegler, who additionally didn’t need Roe overturned, stated in an April interview: “Most authorized students in all probability monitor most People, who didn’t want to overturn Roe … It wasn’t as if authorized students have been someway outliers.”
You possibly can learn extra here.
From CNN’s Daniel Dale and Jen Christensen
Former President Donald Trump claimed in the course of the debate on Tuesday that Rep. Nancy Pelosi, the previous speaker of the Home, was answerable for insufficient safety on the Capitol on January 6, 2021.
“Nancy Pelosi was accountable. She didn’t do her job,” he stated.
Information First: This declare is fake. The speaker of the Home just isn’t accountable for Capitol safety. Capitol safety is overseen by the Capitol Police Board, a physique that features the sergeants at arms of the Home and the Senate. Pelosi’s workplace has explicitly stated she was not introduced with a suggestion of 10,000 Nationwide Guardsmen as Trump has claimed, telling CNN final yr that claims on the contrary are “lies.” And even when Pelosi had been advised of a suggestion of Nationwide Guard troops, she wouldn’t have had the ability to show it down. The speaker of the Home has no authority to forestall the deployment of the District of Columbia Nationwide Guard, which stories to the president (whose authority was delegated, underneath a decades-old government order, to the Secretary of the Military).
You possibly can learn a whole truth examine on it here.
From CNN’s Daniel Dale
Former President Donald Trump claimed that Vice President Kamala Harris met with Russian President Vladimir Putin days earlier than Russia invaded Ukraine and failed to discourage him from the invasion.
“They despatched her to barter peace earlier than this conflict began,” Trump stated, referring to Harris. “Three days later, he went in, and he began the conflict as a result of all the pieces they stated was weak and silly.”
Information First: Trump’s declare is fake. Harris was not despatched to barter peace, and he or she has by no means met with Putin. In actuality, she met with US allies, including Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, on the Munich Safety Convention within the days earlier than Russia’s February 2022 invasion of Ukraine. Putin was not on the convention.
“Frankly talking, I can not recall a single contact between President Putin and Mrs. Harris,” a Kremlin spokesperson said in July, in line with a state-owned Russian information company.
The Biden administration was nonetheless attempting to discourage an invasion of Ukraine on the time of Harris’ 2022 journey to the convention in Germany, however high administration officers, together with President Joe Biden himself, made clear that they believed Putin was already shifting towards invading. As Harris was on her way to Germany, Biden told reporters that he thought a Russian assault “will occur within the subsequent a number of days.”
CNN reported on the day the Munich convention started {that a} senior administration official stated Harris had three key goals: “Concentrate on the ‘fast-changing’ state of affairs on the bottom, keep full alignment with companions and ship a transparent message to Russia that the US prefers diplomacy however is prepared in case of Russian aggression.”
The Munich convention was held from February 18 to February 20, 2022; Russia started its invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022.
From CNN’s Daniel Dale and Kaanita Iyer
In Tuesday evening’s debate, former President Donald Trump repeated a well-recognized declare, which he has made in speech after speech, that the US left $85 billion price of navy tools to the Taliban when President Joe Biden pulled American troops out of Afghanistan in 2021.
“We wouldn’t have left $85 billion price of brand name new, lovely navy tools behind,” Trump stated.
Information First: Trump’s $85 billion determine is fake. Whereas a big amount of navy tools that had been offered by the US to Afghan forces was certainly deserted to the Taliban upon the US withdrawal, the Protection Division has estimated that this tools had been price about $7.1 billion – a bit of the roughly $18.6 billion price of kit offered to Afghan forces between 2005 and 2021. And among the tools left behind was rendered inoperable earlier than US forces withdrew.
As different fact-checkers have beforehand explained, the “$85 billion” is a rounded-up determine – it’s nearer to $83 billion – for the entire amount of cash Congress appropriated in the course of the conflict to a fund supporting the Afghan safety forces. A fraction of this funding was for tools.
From CNN’s Daniel Dale
Vice President Kamala Harris on Tuesday claimed that former President Donald Trump left workplace “with the worst unemployment fee because the Nice Melancholy.”
Information First: Harris’ declare is fake.
In January 2021, when Trump left workplace, the official unemployment fee was 6.4%, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
The unemployment fee skyrocketed to 14.8% in April 2020, when the Covid-19 pandemic shut down international economies, together with that of the US. That was the best fee since 1939, in line with BLS historical records.
Nearly 22 million jobs were lost underneath Trump in March and April 2020 when the worldwide economic system cratered on account of the pandemic. However by the point Trump left workplace, the unemployment fee had gone down.
From CNN’s Alicia Wallace
Former President Donald Trump claimed Tuesday that 818,000 of the jobs created underneath the Biden-Harris administration from April 2023 to March 2024 have been a “fraud.”
Information First: Trump’s declare is fake and wishes extra context.
Trump was referring to the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ not too long ago launched preliminary estimate for its annual benchmark revision that suggested there were 818,000 fewer jobs for the yr resulted in March 2024 than have been initially reported.
Financial knowledge is commonly revised, particularly as extra complete info turns into out there, to supply a clearer, extra correct image of the dynamics at play.
Yearly – together with the 4 years when Trump was president – the Bureau of Labor Statistics conducts a radical evaluation of the survey-based employment estimates from the month-to-month jobs report and reconciles these estimates with fuller employment counts measured by the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages program.
This annual course of, referred to as a benchmarking, offers a near-complete employment depend, as a result of the BLS can right for sampling and modeling errors from the surveys and re-anchor these estimates to unemployment insurance coverage tax data. The revision course of is two-fold: A preliminary estimate is released in mid-August, and the ultimate revision is issued in February, alongside the January jobs report.
Whereas the not too long ago introduced preliminary revision (which quantities to 0.5% of whole employment) was the biggest downward revision since 2009 (which was -902,000, or -0.7%), there have been different giant revisions made in recent times – notably a downward revision of 514,000 jobs (-0.3%) for the year ended in March 2019, in the course of the Trump administration.
The preliminary revision was bigger than typical, however economists and even a Trump-appointed BLS commissioner have publicly acknowledged that there’s nothing nefarious at play. Revisions of this dimension sometimes occur at turning factors within the economic system, when the BLS’ methodology is much less dependable, in line with Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics.
Moreover, the pandemic had a seismic impact on the economic system in addition to the gold normal strategies used to measure it, so this huge revision is probably going a mirrored image of that. Particularly, the BLS’ mannequin for capturing enterprise “births and deaths” is probably going overstating new agency formation whereas underestimating deaths, Oxford Economics’ Chief US Economist Ryan Candy advised CNN.
From CNN’s Alicia Wallace
Former President Donald Trump claimed that President Joe Biden has taken cash from China and Ukraine, together with $3.5 million from the spouse of the mayor of Moscow.
Information First: There is no such thing as a public proof that Joe Biden acquired cash from any international entities whereas in workplace or as a personal citizen. Whereas investigations by Home Republicans have found that Biden members of the family who’ve been concerned in enterprise, together with his son Hunter Biden and brother James Biden (“and their associated corporations”), have acquired over $18 million from international entities, they’ve discovered no proof up to now that the president himself acquired any international cash.
Roughly a yr after launching their impeachment inquiry into Biden and greater than three years into Biden’s presidency, the closest Home Republicans have gotten to connecting the president to cash earned by his members of the family is find that the president acquired private checks from his brother whereas he was a personal citizen after his vice presidency. Republicans have questioned the legitimacy of those transactions and used them to recommend that Joe Biden did profit from his brother’s relationships with international entities. However banking records present substantial proof that Joe Biden had made loans to his brother after which was paid again with out curiosity, as Home Democrats have stated.
Biden said at a presidential debate towards Trump in 2020: “I’ve not taken a penny from any international supply ever in my life.”
The Washington Publish dove into the allegations in 2022 that Hunter Biden acquired cash from the spouse of the Moscow mayor. However there’s no proof that Joe Biden had any involvement regardless.
From CNN’s Daniel Dale and Jeremy Herb
Former President Donald Trump repeated a declare he has made on quite a few events throughout his marketing campaign – that the Biden administration orchestrated a legal election subversion case that was introduced towards him by a neighborhood district legal professional in Fulton County, Georgia, a legal fraud case that was introduced towards him by a neighborhood district legal professional in Manhattan, and a civil fraud case that was introduced towards him by the legal professional normal of New York state.
Information First: That is false. There is no such thing as a proof that Biden or his administration have been behind any of those instances. None of those officers stories to the president and even to the federal authorities.
Lawyer Normal Merrick Garland testified to Congress in early June in regards to the Manhattan case during which Trump was discovered responsible: “The Manhattan district legal professional has jurisdiction over instances involving New York state legislation, fully impartial of the Justice Division, which has jurisdiction over instances involving federal legislation. We don’t management the Manhattan district legal professional. The Manhattan district legal professional doesn’t report back to us. The Manhattan district legal professional makes its personal selections about instances that he desires to deliver underneath his state legislation.”
As he did in his dialog with Musk, Trump has repeatedly invoked a lawyer on Manhattan District Lawyer Alvin Bragg’s group, Matthew Colangelo, whereas making such claims; Colangelo left the Justice Division in 2022 to join the district attorney’s office as senior counsel to Bragg. However there is no such thing as a proof that Biden had something to do with Colangelo’s employment determination. Colangelo and Bragg have been colleagues within the New York legal professional normal’s workplace earlier than Bragg was elected Manhattan district legal professional in 2021.
From CNN’s Daniel Dale
Vice President Kamala Harris implied Tuesday that every one potential start-up enterprise homeowners will be capable of make the most of the $50,000 tax deduction she’s proposing for brand spanking new small companies, saying that it’ll assist them “pursue their ambitions.”
“I’ve a plan to present startup companies $50,000 tax deduction to pursue their ambitions, their innovation, their concepts, their arduous work,” Harris stated.
Information First: Harris’ level about new enterprise homeowners with the ability to profit from the deduction she’s proposed lacks context.
“Companies that fail earlier than they start to show a revenue received’t be capable of make the most of the deduction, as a result of to take a deduction you need to have taxable earnings to deduct towards,” Erica York, a senior economist on the right-leaning Tax Basis, advised CNN.
In different phrases, the tax deduction might not in the end assist companies homeowners get off the bottom and working initially. Nevertheless, it could assist decrease their tax burden over time, however provided that they flip a revenue.
From CNN’s Elisabeth Buchwald
Former President Donald Trump stated of the Biden-Harris administration, “the one jobs they acquired have been bounce-back jobs” that “bounced again and it went to their profit,” however “I used to be the one which created them.”
Information First: Trump’s claims that the job progress in the course of the Biden-Harris administration presidency has been all “bounce-back” positive aspects the place folks went again to their previous jobs just isn’t totally right.
Greater than 21 million jobs were lost underneath Trump in March and April 2020 when the worldwide economic system cratered on account of the pandemic. Following substantial aid and restoration measures, the US began regaining jobs instantly, including greater than 12 million jobs from Could 2020 by means of December 2020, in line with Bureau of Labor Statistics data.
The restoration continued after Biden took workplace, with the US reaching and surpassing its pre-pandemic (February 2020) employment totals in June 2022.
The job positive aspects didn’t cease there. Since June 2022 and thru August 2024, the US has added practically 6.4 million extra jobs in what’s grow to be the fifth-longest period of employment expansion on document. In whole underneath the Biden-Harris administration, round 16 million jobs have been added.
But it surely’s not fully honest nor correct to say the roles gained have been all “bounce-back” or have been folks merely returning to their former positions.
The pandemic drastically reshaped the employment panorama. For one, a good portion of the labor drive didn’t return attributable to early retirements, deaths, long Covid or caregiving tasks.
Moreover, due to shifts in shopper spending patterns in addition to health-and-safety implications, public-facing industries couldn’t totally reopen or restaff instantly. A few of these employees discovered jobs in different industries or used the chance to begin their very own companies.
From CNN’s Alicia Wallace
Former President Donald Trump repeated Tuesday previous claims that he “rebuilt our complete navy.”
“We’re going to finish up in a 3rd world conflict, and it is going to be a conflict like no different. Due to nuclear weapons, the ability of weaponry. I rebuilt our complete navy. She gave a number of it away to the Taliban. She gave it to Afghanistan,” he stated.
Information First: Trump’s declare to have rebuilt the complete navy is fake. “This declare just isn’t even near being true. The navy has tens of hundreds of items of kit, and the overwhelming majority of it predates the Trump administration,” Todd Harrison, an skilled on the protection price range and a senior fellow on the American Enterprise Institute, a conservative suppose tank, advised CNN in November.
Harrison stated in a November e mail: “Furthermore, the method of buying new tools for the navy is sluggish and takes a few years. It’s not remotely attainable to exchange even half of the navy’s stock of kit in a single presidential time period. I simply ran the numbers for navy plane, and about 88% of the plane within the U.S. navy stock immediately (together with Air Power, Military, Navy, and Marine Corps plane) have been constructed earlier than Trump took workplace. By way of fighters specifically, we nonetheless have F-16s and F- 15s within the Air Power which can be over 40 years previous.”
From CNN’s Daniel Dale
Trump on US and European assist to Ukraine
Former President Donald Trump complained that the US had given $250 billion to $275 billion in assist to Ukraine whereas European international locations had given simply $100 billion to $150 billion although they’re positioned nearer to Ukraine.
Information First: Trump’s declare is fake. In whole, European international locations have contributed considerably extra assist to Ukraine than the US has throughout and simply earlier than the Russian invasion started in early 2022, in line with data from the Kiel Institute for the World Economic system in Germany.
The Kiel Institute, which carefully tracks assist to Ukraine, found that, from late January 2022 (simply earlier than Russia’s invasion in February 2022) by means of June 2024, the European Union and particular person European international locations had dedicated a complete of about $207 billion to Ukraine, in navy, monetary and humanitarian help, in comparison with about $109 billion (€98.4 billion) dedicated by the US. Europe additionally exceeded the US in assist that had really been “allotted” to Ukraine – outlined by the institute as assist both delivered or specified for supply – at about $122 billion (€110.21 billion) for Europe in comparison with about $83 billion (€75.1 billion) for the US.
As well as, Europe had dedicated extra whole navy assist to Ukraine, at about $88 billion (79.57 billion euro) to about $72 billion (64.87 billion euro) for the US. The US narrowly led on navy assist that had really been allotted, at about $56.91 billion for the US (51.58 billion euro) to about $56.84 billion for Europe (51.52 billion euro), however that was nowhere close to the lopsided margin Trump recommended.
It’s vital to notice that it’s attainable to provide you with totally different totals utilizing totally different methodology. And the Kiel Institute found that Ukraine itself was getting only about half of the cash in a 2024 US invoice that had broadly been described as a $61 billion assist invoice for Ukraine; the institute stated the remainder of the funds have been principally going to the Protection Division.
From CNN’s Daniel Dale
Former President Donald Trump claimed in the course of the debate on Tuesday that “crime on this nation is thru the roof.”
Information First: Trump’s declare that crime charges are up is fake. And whereas it’s true that the FBI’s most up-to-date knowledge didn’t embody some giant cities, crime counts nonetheless present a downward pattern as each violent crime and property crime dropped significantly in 2023 and in the first quarter of 2024.
There are limitations to the FBI-published knowledge from native legislation enforcement – the numbers are preliminary, not all communities submitted knowledge and the submitted knowledge usually has some errors – so these statistics might not exactly seize the scale of the latest declines in crime.
The preliminary FBI knowledge for 2023 showed a roughly 13% decline in murder and a roughly 6% decline in total violent crime in comparison with 2022, bringing each homicide and violent crime ranges beneath the place they have been in Trump’s final calendar yr in workplace in 2020. The preliminary FBI knowledge for the primary quarter of 2024 confirmed a good steeper drop from the identical quarter in 2023 – a roughly 26% decline in homicide and roughly 15% decline in total violent crime.
Crime knowledge skilled Jeff Asher, co-founder of the agency AH Datalytics, stated in an e mail to CNN final week: There’s ample proof that crime is falling in 2024 and homicide particularly fell on the quickest – or one of many quickest – paces ever recorded in 2023 and once more in 2024.”
Asher continued: “The proof comes from a wide range of sources together with the FBI’s quarterly knowledge, the CDC, the Gun Violence Archive, and our newly launched Real-Time Crime Index. We present a 5 p.c decline in violent crime – together with a 16 p.c decline in homicide – and a 9 p.c decline in property crime by means of June 2024 in over 300 cities with out there knowledge up to now this yr. Information from these numerous sources recommend the US homicide fee was down considerably in 2023 relative to 2020/2021 highs however nonetheless barely above 2019’s stage.”
After Trump claimed in June that “crime is a lot up,” Anna Harvey, a political science professor and director of the Public Safety Lab at New York College, famous to CNN that the declare is contradicted each by the information from the FBI and from the Major Cities Chiefs Association, which represents 70 giant US police forces. She stated: “It will be extra correct to say that crime is a lot down.”
From CNN’s Daniel Dale
Former President Donald Trump stated Tuesday that the Central Park Five pleaded responsible to crimes, and that the 5 youngsters “badly harm an individual, killed an individual” within the 1989 assault.
Information First: These claims are false. The Central Park 5 didn’t plead responsible, they have been convicted by a jury at trial (that conviction has since been vacated). Additionally, the 5 youngsters have been accused of raping a jogger – not of homicide.
Five teenagers who have been accused of raping a jogger in 1989 have been pressured into giving false confessions. They have been exonerated in 2002 when DNA proof linked one other particular person to the crime. The youngsters sued the town, and the case was settled in 2014.
A sixth teenager charged within the assault did plead guilty to theft expenses. His conviction was additionally overturned as a result of there was no bodily proof connecting him to both the rape or the theft, and since individuals who blamed the sixth teen later recanted.
From CNN’s Hannah Rabinowitz
Former President Donald Trump claimed on Tuesday that he “ended” the Nord Stream pipeline.
“I ended the Nord Stream 2 pipeline and Biden put it again on day one,” Trump stated. “However he ended the XL pipeline – the XL pipeline in our nation, he ended that. However he let the Russians construct a pipeline going throughout Europe and heading into Germany; the most important pipeline on the planet.”
Information First: Trump’s declare is fake. He didn’t “finish” Nord Stream.
Whereas he did signal a invoice that included sanctions on corporations engaged on the venture, that transfer got here practically three years into his presidency, when the pipeline was already round 90% full – and the state-owned Russian gasoline firm behind the venture stated shortly after the sanctions that it will full the pipeline itself. The corporate introduced in December 2020 that development was resuming. And with days left in Trump’s time period in January 2021, Germany introduced that it had renewed permission for development in its waters.
The pipeline by no means started operations; Germany ended up halting the venture as Russia was about to invade Ukraine in early 2022. The pipeline was broken later that yr in what has been described as a probable act of sabotage.
From CNN’s Daniel Dale
Former President Donald Trump claimed that some states enable folks to execute infants, along with permitting abortion within the ninth month, and he singled out the governors together with Democratic vice presidential nominee Tim Walz for his stance on the problem.
On Walz, Trump stated, “He additionally says execution after beginning – it’s execution, not abortion as a result of the child is born – is OK. And that’s not OK with me.”
“They’ve abortion within the ninth month. They even have – and you’ll have a look at the governor of West Virginia, the earlier governor of West Virginia not the present governor he’s doing a superb job. However the governor earlier than, he stated, ‘The infant shall be born, and we are going to determine what to do with the child,’ in different phrases, ‘We’ll execute the child,’” Trump stated.
Information First: Trump’s declare about infanticide is fake. No state permits for the execution of a child after it’s born.
That’s referred to as infanticide, which is illegal in every state.
“Each state explicitly criminalizes infanticide,” Mary Ziegler, a professor on the College of California, Davis College of Regulation, stated in June.
“There is no such thing as a foundation for this declare,” Kimberly Mutcherson, a professor at Rutgers Regulation College, additionally stated on the time.
There are some instances during which mother and father choose palliative care, a form of care that may present aid for the signs and stress of a lethal sickness or situation that provides the child simply minutes, hours or days to dwell. That’s not the identical as executing a child.
Trump additionally misspoke. It was not the governor of West Virginia, it was the previous Governor of Virginia Ralph Northam who made a controversial comment in 2019 that many Republicans stated gave the impression of he supported infanticide. Northam, who’s a pediatric neurologist, stated his phrases have been being misinterpreted. In any case, infanticide was not authorized when Northam was governor of Virginia nor was it ever authorized in West Virginia both.
As for abortions within the ninth month, Minnesota is certainly one of a handful of states that enable abortion at any stage of a being pregnant, however it doesn’t imply that medical doctors carry out them. Nationally, simply 0.9% of abortions in 2021 – the newest yr the US Facilities for Illness Management and Prevention has knowledge – occurred at 21 weeks or later. Many abortions at this point in the pregnancy are vital attributable to severe well being dangers or deadly fetal anomalies. Greater than 93 p.c of abortions have been carried out earlier than the 14th week of being pregnant, in line with the CDC. In Minnesota, in line with state data for 2022, of the 12,175 abortions within the state, solely two occurred between the 25 and thirtieth week of being pregnant. None occurred after the 30th week of being pregnant that yr.
From CNN’s Daniel Dale and Jen Christensen
Former President Donald Trump claimed Tuesday that the US was “paying virtually all of NATO” for years, till he “acquired them to pay up” by threatening to not comply with by means of on the alliance’s collective protection clause.
“For years, we have been paying virtually all of NATO,” he stated. “We have been being ripped off by European nations, each on commerce and on NATO. I acquired them to pay up by saying one of many statements you made earlier than, ‘in case you don’t pay, we’re not going to guard you.’ In any other case we might have by no means gotten it.”
Information First: Trump’s declare that the US was “paying virtually all of NATO” wants context. Official NATO figures present that in 2016, the final yr earlier than Trump took workplace, US protection spending made up about 71% of whole protection spending by NATO members – a big majority, however not “virtually all.” And Trump’s declare is much more inaccurate if he was speaking in regards to the direct contributions to NATO that cowl NATO’s organizational bills and are set primarily based on every nation’s nationwide earnings; the US was answerable for about 22% of these contributions in 2016.
The US share of whole NATO navy spending fell to about 65% in 2023. And the US is now answerable for about 16% of direct contributions to NATO, the identical as Germany. Erwan Lagadec, an skilled on NATO as a analysis professor at George Washington College’s Elliott College of Worldwide Affairs and director of its Transatlantic Program, stated the US share was lowered from 22% “to placate Trump” and is a “sweetheart deal” provided that the US makes up greater than half of the alliance’s whole GDP.
From CNN’s Daniel Dale
In Tuesday evening’s debate, former President Donald Trump as soon as once more claimed that Vice President Kamala Harris desires to eliminate non-public medical insurance.
“However she received’t enhance non-public insurance coverage for folks, non-public medical insurance coverage,” Trump stated. “That’s one other factor she doesn’t need to give. Persons are paying privately for insurance coverage which have labored arduous and made cash and so they wanna have non-public – she desires all people to be on authorities insurance coverage the place you wait six months for an operation that you just want instantly.”
Information First: Trump’s declare is outdated. Whereas Harris did say in her first presidential marketing campaign in 2019 that she needed to remove non-public medical insurance, the plan she rolled out later that yr included a task for personal insurers, and as vice chairman, she has supported bolstering the Inexpensive Care Act. Protection on the Obamacare exchanges are supplied by non-public insurers.
At a CNN city corridor in January 2019, Harris, who was then a California senator vying for the Democratic presidential nomination, stated that she would eliminate private health insurance as a vital a part of implementing Medicare for All, a government-run medical insurance proposal promoted by Sen. Bernie Sanders. Harris was a co-sponsor of Sanders’ invoice, which referred to as for basically eliminating the non-public insurance coverage market.
A furor erupted, and her nationwide press secretary and an adviser shortly walked again her remark, saying she was open to multiple paths to Medicare for All. And personal insurers have been included in the plan she rolled out in July 2019.
“We are going to enable non-public insurers to supply Medicare plans as part of this method that adhere to strict Medicare necessities on prices and advantages,” Harris wrote in a Medium post about her plan. “Medicare will set the foundations of the street for these plans, together with worth and high quality, and personal insurance coverage corporations will play by these guidelines, not the opposite manner round.”
Since she was named President Joe Biden’s vice chairman, she has supported his efforts to strengthen the Inexpensive Care Act, which has led to a record number of people signing up for 2024 protection from non-public insurers on the person market.
Harris’ marketing campaign has confirmed that the vice chairman not helps a single-payer well being care system.
From CNN’s Tami Luhby
Vice President Kamala Harris claimed Tuesday that the economic system has added over 800,000 new manufacturing jobs in the course of the Biden-Harris administration.
Information First: Harris was rounding up and was referring to labor market knowledge out there by means of July 2024, which confirmed the US economic system added 765,000 manufacturing jobs from the primary full month of the Biden-Harris administration, February 2021. Although it’s price noting that the expansion almost entirely occurred in 2021 and 2022 (with 746,000 manufacturing jobs added beginning in February 2021) earlier than a comparatively flat 2023 and thru the primary seven months of 2024.
In August, the US economic system misplaced an estimated 24,000 manufacturing jobs, bringing that tally right down to 739,000, in line with Bureau of Labor Statistics’ preliminary employment knowledge released Friday.
The acquire in the course of the Biden-Harris period is, nevertheless, over 800,000 using non-seasonally-adjusted figures that are also published by the federal government – actually, the non-seasonally adjusted acquire is 874,000 by means of August – so there may be not less than a defensible foundation for Harris’ declare. Nevertheless, seasonally adjusted knowledge smooths out volatility and is historically used to watch developments.
An estimated 172,000 manufacturing jobs have been misplaced throughout former President Donald Trump’s administration, nevertheless, most of these losses occurred following the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic in early 2020. From February 2017, the primary full month that Trump was in workplace, by means of February 2020, the US economic system added 414,000 manufacturing jobs, BLS data shows.
Presidential phrases don’t begin and finish in a vacuum, and financial cycles can carry over no matter celebration. Moreover, the ups and downs of the labor market and the broader economic system are influenced by elements past a single president, though particular financial insurance policies can affect financial and job progress.
From CNN’s Daniel Dale and Alicia Wallace