Climate: The issue Biden and Trump are furthest apart on

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A model of this story appeared in CNN’s What Issues publication. To get it in your inbox, join free here.



CNN
 — 

It isn’t information that former President Donald Trump needs to hit rewind on President Joe Biden’s local weather coverage. What’s information is how far Trump might go.

There’s new reporting in The Washington Post that Trump, throughout a gathering at Mar-a-Lago, requested oil executives to lift $1 billion for his marketing campaign in order that he might upend efforts by Biden to push the US towards clear vitality and electrical automobiles.

Whereas the transactional nature of the pitch, as relayed to the Submit, is overt and considerably stunning, it’s not out of step with Trump’s view of politics or his insistence that local weather change is a “hoax.” For proof that local weather change will not be a hoax, read this CNN story about ocean temperatures. Or look at the pictures of tons of of 1000’s of lifeless fish killed by a warmth wave in Vietnam.

I talked to CNN local weather reporter Ella Nilsen about Trump’s plans for a second time period and Biden’s file on local weather change. Among the many fascinating issues I realized is that a number of the cash Biden and Democrats have spent to spur manufacturing has gone to crimson states.

WOLF: The Washington Submit experiences that Trump is promising oil executives a pleasant administration in the event that they elevate $1 billion for his marketing campaign. Politico experiences the oil business is crafting govt orders Trump might signal on day one. Trump has promised – in his “dictator for a day” fantasy – to behave on immigration and vitality manufacturing first. What can we find out about how completely different US vitality coverage can be beneath Trump?

NILSEN: In his first time period, Trump overturned greater than 100 environmental guidelines and actions put in place by the Obama administration.

Biden’s administration has spent a lot of its tenure undoing Trump’s actions – in some locations enacting even stronger rules on planet-warming air pollution coming from vehiclespower plants and the oil and gas business.

Trump has vowed to once more reverse course from Biden; he needs to make stronger fossil fuels and oil and gasoline drilling specifically.

WOLF: For all their rhetorical variations on local weather, it’s not just like the US has reduce oil manufacturing beneath Biden. In actual fact, the US stays the No. 1 world oil producer by an extended shot. How do local weather activists fee the present administration?

NILSEN: Local weather activists have a combined view of Biden.

On the one hand, he delivered on essentially the most ambitious piece of local weather laws in trendy historical past. His administration has additionally finalized some fairly formidable rules chopping planet-warming air pollution, conserved a number of public lands and created an American Local weather Corps – a key demand of activists.

Alternatively, the administration greenlit the massive new oil drilling project in Alaska often called Willow, which galvanized an enormous quantity of opposition from youth local weather teams and on social media. Youth local weather teams need Biden to use executive authority to cease drilling for fossil fuels – one thing that possible gained’t occur as oil and gas production booms within the US.

WOLF: The cash for local weather within the Inflation Reduction Act, which was backed by Democrats solely, was offered because the largest-ever funding in clear vitality and local weather coverage. Are we seeing it repay?

NILSEN: Sure, thus far. The IRA has already spurred tons of of billions of {dollars} of funding in new US manufacturing, largely for clean-energy industries like EVs, battery crops, and photo voltaic and wind manufacturing.

Lots of this funding has been clustered in crimson states, however different 2024 swing states like Michigan, Arizona and Georgia have been large benefactors.

WOLF: Is {that a} political transfer, or does it simply must do with the truth that it will get windy in Texas?

NILSEN: You’re proper, it’s very windy in a number of crimson states – crimson states like Texas, Oklahoma, Iowa and South Dakota are large wind-energy producers and shoppers.

However there are different causes too. As an example, it’s simpler to allow and construct in some crimson states, and others have relaxed union labor legal guidelines, one other issue that pulls large companies.

WOLF: I’ve been seeing a number of tales a couple of backlash to EVs. Trump falsely says Biden needs to ban gas-powered automobiles. How large a component does a transition to EVs play in addressing local weather change?

NILSEN: The automobiles we drive play an enormous function in addressing local weather change.

Transportation emissions account for rather less than a 3rd of whole US emissions – the most important particular person sector for greenhouse gasoline air pollution.

Even accounting for mining for the vital minerals wanted for EV batteries, EVs are much cleaner than gas-powered automobiles – assuming the facility used to cost them can be coming from clear sources.

WOLF: Even earlier than Biden took workplace, states like California had been taking the lead in a extra climate-focused vitality coverage. Would that proceed even when Trump wins?

NILSEN: Sure, blue states like California and Washington state and even some Midwestern, purple states like Michigan and Minnesota have handed some very formidable local weather legal guidelines by their legislatures. That work will proceed within the states even when Trump is elected.

However given how shortly we’re working out of time to get the planet’s warming beneath management, will probably be essential to have the federal authorities shifting in that route as nicely.

WOLF: Higher than presidents taking govt motion or the Environmental Safety Company writing a regulation to handle the local weather can be lawmakers passing a significant piece of local weather laws. Are there any indications of motion towards a brand new nationwide vitality coverage?

NILSEN: Lawmakers passing the IRA was an enormous achievement in its personal proper; nevertheless, a number of lawmakers have stated the IRA was simply the beginning.

Given the 2017 Trump tax cuts are expiring quickly, and Congress should take up tax coverage in 2025, there’s already chatter a couple of attainable carbon tax, or a carbon tariff on polluting merchandise like cement and metal, arising within the legislature.

In fact, what’s attainable in Congress relies upon tremendously on which get together is in energy – and who’s within the White Home.

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