How Speaker Mike Johnson handles Ukraine funding issue could determine whether he gets ousted from his job

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Days after his speakership was placed on discover by a far-right member, Mike Johnson strategized with a key – and maybe stunning – supply: firebrand GOP Rep. Matt Gaetz of Florida, the architect of the final effort to take away a speaker.

Gaetz, who’s making clear he’s firmly in Johnson’s nook, endorsed the rookie speaker throughout a current telephone name to place some conservative wins on the board over the following few weeks as he navigates the specter of a possible motion to vacate the speaker’s chair, in keeping with sources aware of the dialog.

“I gave the speaker some unsolicited recommendation. That we’ve bought to get right into a preventing posture. And I used to be more than happy with how the speaker acquired that recommendation,” Gaetz confirmed in an interview with CNN. “”The speaker desires to place wins on the board for Home Republicans, and we higher begin doing that. … I’m glad the speaker hasn’t rolled over to the $95 billion Ukraine supplemental that the Senate handed, and I believe that he’s forging a greater path on that difficulty as we converse.”

As speaker, Johnson has an arsenal of instruments at his disposal to placate his proper flank, who was infuriated by the current bipartisan spending deal he put on the House floor. However whether or not or not Johnson retains his speaker’s gavel might hinge on how he handles the following divisive coverage difficulty coming down the pike: funding for Ukraine in its war against Russia.

Requested if he’d change his thoughts about supporting Johnson if the speaker places a Ukraine invoice on the ground that’s not paid for by spending cuts, Gaetz mentioned: “If there have been no offsets we’d be actually disillusioned. I believe we have to not deficit-spend to fund Ukraine. I additionally suppose that we have to have our personal border prioritized. And I believe Speaker Johnson shares that viewpoint.”

Whereas GOP Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene of Georgia formally filed a movement to vacate earlier than the recess break, she has but to take the mandatory step to actually force a floor vote on the resolution, basically retaining the menace in her again pocket for now. Allies near Johnson don’t consider Greene will truly observe by means of, and even when she does, they suppose she’d discover little assist from both aspect of the aisle for such a transfer. In the meantime, Johnson’s workplace insists he’s solely targeted on governing and received’t function in worry of a movement to vacate.

Marjorie Taylor Greene 03 22 2024

See what Greene mentioned after submitting movement to take away Speaker Johnson

However given the ever shrinking House Republican majority, Greene’s unpredictable nature and the stunning style through which former speaker Kevin McCarthy was ousted, Johnson can also’t go away something to probability. Individuals who have spoken to the speaker in current days say he’s keenly conscious that the movement to vacate is looming giant as he makes key choices about Ukraine assist, which might decide the trajectory of his political profession – whether or not it’s within the fast time period or extra long run. Over the two-week Easter recess, Johnson has been quietly working with key lieutenants to chart a course on his Ukraine technique.

“He has to shore up (assist) after that funds debacle,” one GOP lawmaker who was disillusioned by the spending bundle, informed CNN. “It was a horrible deal.”

Democrats are signaling that they may save Johnson if he strikes a Ukraine invoice they will assist. But when he strikes a invoice that’s narrower than their calls for, or contains new border restrictions, he dangers laying aside each Democrats and right-wing Republicans who’re against a greenback extra for Ukraine. Plus, including spending cuts to offset the Ukraine bundle — as Gaetz and different hardliners need— would immediate stiff Democratic opposition.

“My counsel to Mike is, begin with the American folks right here at residence and work from there. Don’t begin from Ukraine and work that means,” mentioned GOP Rep. Chip Roy of Texas, who added he has been in “fixed communication” with the speaker and his workforce.

Roy, one of many loudest critics of the bipartisan spending legislation, wouldn’t say if he would again Greene’s effort to oust Johnson.

“Proper now, we bought to return and get Republicans united to level out what our radical progressive Democrat colleagues are doing and current an precise competing imaginative and prescient,” he mentioned.

In the meantime, Greene is performing some strategizing of her personal. She is working with a small group of allies to gauge the place members stand, in keeping with a lawmaker aware of the conversations.

“Persons are speaking about it,” the lawmaker mentioned.

Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene of Georgia speaks to reporters outside of the U.S. Capitol Building on March 22, 2024, in Washington, DC.

The day Greene filed her movement in opposition to Johnson, GOP Rep. Thomas Massie of Kentucky informed CNN that Greene is in no rush to behave.

“Presumably now we will begin discovering a substitute and nonetheless do investigations and nonetheless go on about our enterprise,” Massie informed CNN final week.

However he wouldn’t say if he helps ousting Johnson: “There’s no profit to me answering that query.”

Whereas Greene has been publicly criticizing the speaker on social media over the past a number of days, sources say she is retaining her precise plan near the chest and solely confiding in just a few key allies.

As Greene and her allies slowly begin to strategy their colleagues, key members of the far-right Home Freedom Caucus, together with ones who have been supportive of McCarthy’s elimination, usually are not signaling the identical urge for food for ousting Johnson.

GOP Rep. Bob Good of Virginia, who chairs the fitting wing group and was one in every of eight Republicans who voted to oust McCarthy, informed CNN, “No person cares what Marjorie Taylor Greene says or thinks. And he or she’s a one-man present. She’s grandstanding and she or he desires consideration.”has a frosty relationship with Greene, who’s backing his main opponent.

“No person cares what Marjorie Taylor Greene says or thinks,” Good informed CNN. “And he or she’s a one-man present. She’s grandstanding and she or he desires consideration.”

Good wouldn’t say if he would again voting to oust Johnson, although he mentioned: “I can’t defend the actions which have been taken which are materials in doing the identical factor that the previous speaker did.”

Requested if Johnson must be voted out, Good mentioned: “I don’t have a touch upon that. You realize, and I believe that may be a remark in and of itself.”

Different hardliners are against kicking out Johnson.

“I don’t suppose now could be the time to place America by means of one other battle to pick out a brand new individual as speaker of the Home,” mentioned GOP Rep. Ralph Norman of South Carolina. “Due to this fact I cannot be supporting the (movement to vacate the speaker) if and with regards to the Home flooring for a vote.”

However whereas many Republicans are sticking behind Johnson for now, they warned that his dealing with of Ukraine assist when the Home returns in April might be vital to figuring out the place their final assist lies.

GOP Rep. Andrew Clyde of Georgia mentioned he didn’t consider Greene’s menace in opposition to Johnson’s job was severe however warned: “I believe we have to be targeted on securing our border, earlier than we deal with securing … another nation’s border.”

Rep. Matt Gaetz leaves a closed-door House Republican meeting at the US Capitol on October 20, 2023, in Washington, DC.

Some are involved that the chaos brought on by one other speaker combat might lead to a coalition with Democrats that results in Home Minority Chief Hakeem Jeffries turning into speaker, given the slender margins within the Home and the rising frustrations amongst Republicans. Quite a lot of GOP lawmakers made that time to Greene straight on the Home flooring as they tried to dissuade her from shifting ahead together with her decision to oust Johnson, sources informed CNN.

“The final time I pulled the set off on a movement to vacate, I might make a real promise to the nation that we might not find yourself with a Democrat speaker of the Home, and I fulfilled that promise,” Gaetz mentioned within the interview. “And I’m not sure that I might do it once more, with a one-vote majority versus a four-vote majority.”

However Greene is urgent forward each on social media and behind the scenes to maintain up the strain. She informed CNN quickly after she introduced her plans that there are “fairly just a few” lawmakers supporting her effort however wouldn’t specify precisely what number of or who’s backing her.

“I’ve a quantity which have dedicated, however there’s additionally a big quantity which have already expressed to me an enormous sigh of aid,” she added.

In the meantime, Greene has been relentlessly concentrating on Johnson in a firestorm of social media posts and never being shy about her intentions.

“My movement to vacate is a power for change and Republicans higher take it critically and spend the mandatory time planning and coming collectively for brand new management,” she posted on Thursday.

Haley Talbot and Sheden Tesfaldet contributed to this report.

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