Fact check: Trump won’t stop inflating inflation numbers

nexninja
6 Min Read


Washington
CNN
 — 

Individuals have skilled important value will increase through the tenure of President Joe Biden – however costs haven’t gone up almost as a lot as former President Donald Trump retains saying.

Trump, now the presumptive Republican presidential nominee, has a years-old behavior of utilizing inaccurate figures even when accurate figures would serve his point. Throughout his 2024 marketing campaign, he has serially inflated the extent of inflation beneath Biden.

Maybe most notably, Trump has claimed this month that whole Biden-era inflation has been greater than double what it really has been. And since final fall, Trump has additionally exaggerated about oil costs, fuel costs, total vitality costs, bacon costs and basic meals and grocery costs.

Complete Biden-era inflation

Trump said at a marketing campaign rally in Georgia on March 9: “The actual fact is, beneath Biden, we have now a three-year inflation charge of virtually 50%.” Trump went even greater in a CNBC interview on March 11, saying, “I imagine we have now a cumulative inflation of over 50%.”

As The Washington Publish noted last week, Trump’s claims aren’t near true. Federal figures show that cumulative inflation from when Biden took workplace in January 2021 by February 2024 was 18.6% – not even half of what Trump mentioned.

Oil costs

At his March 9 rally in Georgia and March 2 rallies in Virginia and North Carolina, Trump claimed that “the value of oil reached an all-time excessive” beneath Biden.

“Not surprisingly, the claims usually are not true,” Tom Kloza, international head of vitality evaluation for the Oil Value Info Service, advised CNN. “Crude oil costs – the 2 benchmarks, WTI and Brent – hit their all-time highs in July 2008,” buying and selling above $147 per barrel.

Whereas oil costs did spike under Biden in 2022 after the Russian invasion of Ukraine, exceeding $130 for West Texas Intermediate crude and $139 for Brent crude, they by no means reached report highs. And when Trump claimed in October speeches that “now it’s $100” and “we’re hitting $100 now,” each sorts of crude have been under $90 – the place they nonetheless have been on Monday.

Gasoline costs

Trump made false claims about gasoline costs beneath Biden in speech after speech final fall.

For instance, he said in a Florida speech in October that “at the moment, you may have $5, $6 and $7” per gallon. On the time, although, the state’s common value for a gallon of standard fuel was about $3.42 per gallon and the nationwide common was about $3.66 per gallon, AAA information confirmed – and exactly zero of the 8,237 Florida stations tracked by GasBuddy have been promoting fuel for as a lot as $5 per gallon that day, not to mention for $6 or $7.

Trump deployed equally inaccurate numbers whereas talking in different states. You possibly can learn extra here. The nationwide common stays a lot decrease at the moment than the numbers Trump has cited; it was $3.47 per gallon on Monday, AAA reported.

Power costs

Trump claimed in a November speech in Florida that “we have now the very best vitality prices wherever now.” Pavel Molchanov, a Raymond James vitality analyst, mentioned in an electronic mail to CNN on the time that Trump’s declare was not near correct. Citing information you possibly can see here, Molchanov mentioned, “U.S. electrical energy costs are decrease than in virtually each different industrialized financial system.” US family costs for pure fuel are additionally nowhere near the world’s highest.

Bacon costs

In multiple speeches within the fall, Trump claimed that bacon price Individuals “5 instances” what it did earlier than Biden grew to become president. That was wildly incorrect. Federal figures showed that the typical value of a pound of sliced bacon was up by about 21.5% beneath Biden on the time Trump made these claims, not the 400% Trump mentioned.

Trump couldn’t have recognized this on the time he made his feedback, however the common value of bacon has steadily declined because the fall. The common in February 2024, $6.56 per pound, was about 12.5% increased than the $5.831 per pound common when Biden took workplace.

Meals and grocery costs

Trump claimed in a February 9 speech to the Nationwide Rifle Affiliation that Biden can’t probably get re-elected given “meals that prices 40, 50, 60% greater than it did just some years in the past.” At a March 16 rally in Ohio, he claimed that, beneath Biden, “groceries are up 30%.”

As PolitiFact noted in February, federal figures confirmed that overall food prices have been up 20.3% over the past three years on the time of Trump’s declare of a “40, 50, 60%” improve. No main class of meals was up even 40% over that point interval, both. One merchandise particularly, eggs, was up 72%, however Trump didn’t specify that he was speaking about one particular product.

On the time Trump claimed in Ohio on Saturday that grocery costs had elevated 30% beneath Biden, common grocery costs had increased about 21% under Biden. The Republican Occasion used the proper determine in a social media post the subsequent day.



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